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Economic modelling

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Economics
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Economic modelling
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Briefing paper

Wage price spiral or price wage spiral?


While significant concerns have been raised about the inflationary impacts of a five percent increase in the minimum wage, in reality, the authors of this paper argue that the direct inflationary impact of a five percent increase in all wages is only 1.27 percent, and even when the second round impacts are included the increase...
Policy report

Research note: modelling of the 2022 Coalition and Labor child care policies


This paper provides results of modelling of the distributional impacts of Labor's proposed child care policy and the Coalition's recently legislated child care policy. Both policies are compared to the previous child care subsidy policy.
Policy report

Understanding structural effects of COVID-19 on the global economy: first steps


The COVID-19 pandemic and associated policy responses are likely to alter the global economy in a way that affects its ability to adjust to future shocks and changes. This paper develops a point of reference for thinking about developments which could be deemed long-term.
Report

The economic and employment consequences of net zero emissions by 2050 in Australia


This study builds on previous IPA research by analysing the potential economic and employment impact of a ban on all new coal, gas and oil projects – which at a minimum would be required for Australia to meet its net zero emissions by 2050 commitment.
Report

Pre-election economic and fiscal outlook 2022


Consistent with the Charter, the 2022 PEFO provides updated fiscal and economic estimates and projections, based on the best professional judgment of the Treasury and the Department of Finance, reflecting all known information at the time of the issue of the election writs.