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Economic modelling

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Economic modelling
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Working paper

No free lunch: higher superannuation means lower wages


This working paper uses administrative data on 80,000 federal workplace agreements made between 1991 and 2018 to show that about 80 per cent of the cost of increases in super is passed to workers through lower wage rises within the life of an enterprise agreement, typically 2-to-3 years. And the longer-term impact is likely to...
Report

The relationship between superannuation contributions and wages in Australia


This research shows that scheduled increases in employers’ minimum statutory superannuation contributions would have no negative effects on future wage growth, and that Australia’s economy can afford both higher wages and higher employer contributions to superannuation.
Report

Norwegian cheque: who profits from oil in the Bight?


This report reveals that if Norwegian company, Equinor, is given permission to drill for oil in the Great Australian Bight, it will likely pay the Norwegian government more than it will pay in Australian government taxes and up to 27 times more than they will pay to the South Australian government.
Report

Mapping economic disadvantage in New South Wales


This report looks at poverty rates, or the experience of significant economic disadvantage, for different population groups within NSW, as well as investigating which population groups are in poverty - the composition of poverty.
Working paper

Behind the headline number: why not to rely on Frey and Osborne’s predictions of potential job loss from automation


In 2013, Oxford's University's Carl Benedict Frey and Michael Osborne predicted that 47% of jobs in the United States were at “high risk” of automation over the next 10 to 20 years. The authors of this paper argue that these predictions are not reliable and lack rigour.